W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
15 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Hoffenheim 0:2 BVB (Matchday 23). Adeyemi 34', Guirassy 67'. Important away win — BVB controlled the game after taking an early lead. Adeyemi with a world-class solo run. Guirassy scores for the fourth time in five games.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Hoffenheim 0:2 BVB — Match Statistics:
58.1%
Possession BVB
6 : 3
Shots on Target
14 : 9
Total Shots
5 : 3
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Relief after the 2:0 in Hoffenheim. Fan forums positive — Awaysieg gives tailwind for the Bayern-Spiel. South Stand planning choreography.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Süle (knee injury), Brandt (muscle tightness — training doubtful).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 10-6-7, 36 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: W L D L W. Torbilanz: 44:33. Heimtabelle Platz 4. — away position 9..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
Adeyemi future: Manchester United still interested according to Sky Sport. BVB want at least €50M. Contract extension beyond 2027 not yet a topic.
Table
Fixed
07:30
6th after Matchday 23. CL spot (4.) 4 points away. Europa League (7.) only 4 points behind sich. Bayern match pivotal — win would be a statement.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
BVB HEIM 25/26
Table: 4.
Bayern AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (63 games): BVB 8S 14U 41N, Goals 62:139. First Half: Bayern 4:1 BVB (Matchday 10, 30.11.2025 — Musiala 12'/55', Sané 38', Tel 90'+1; Guirassy 67').
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
30.11.25Bayern 4:1 BVBNGuirassy
04.05.25BVB 1:3 BayernNAdeyemi
30.11.24Bayern 1:1 BVBUGittens
27.04.24BVB 0:2 BayernN
04.11.23Bayern 0:1 BVBSReus
Last 5: BVB 1S 1U 3N · 1× in 5 Spielen im Signal Iduna Park
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
4
Guirassy-Goals in 5 Spielen
44
Saisontore (Liga-Platz 3)
58.1%
Ø Possession (Liga-Platz 4)
1.57
Punkte/Spiel
BVB Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 14S 8U 8N, 56:38 Goals (30 games). Nur 1 Heimniederlage in der Liga.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
BVB vs Bayern (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
BVB
4.50
20.0%
Unentsch.
4.00
22.5%
Bayern
1.72
55.8%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · BVB vs Bayern:
| Quelle | BVB | Unentsch. | Bayern | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 22¢ | 21¢ | 58¢ | $6.1K |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: HIGH — Polymarket-Volumen $6.1K. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: BVB Championship: Polymarket 2¢ YES. CL qualification: ~35¢.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
2 Items planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 2 Items planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 1 · 15 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 9 Fixed (60%) · 5 Variable (33%) · 1 Signal (7%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Hoffenheim — BVB
BVB
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · PreZero Arena · 30.150
⚽ Adeyemi 34', Guirassy 67'
Next Match · Matchday 24
HIGH
BVB
6. · 36 Pts
10-6-7
vs
Bayern
1. · 55 Pts
17-4-2
🏟 Signal Iduna Park
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 18:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
BVB
22¢
Unentsch.
21¢
Bayern
58¢
Volume: $6.1K
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| BVB | Bayern | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 6. | 1. |
| Punkte | 36 | 55 |
| Bilanz | 10-6-7 | 17-4-2 |
| Goals | 44:33 | 61:20 |
| Form (5) | SNUNS | SSSUS |
| Home/Away | H: 4. | A: — |
| Frühquote | 4.50 | 1.72 |
| Wahrsch. | 20.0% | 55.8% |
| Liquidität | HIGH $6.1K Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Süle knee injury
- Doubtful Brandt muscle tightness — training doubtful
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Nuri Şahin
"Das Topspiel gegen Bayern ist das, wofür du Fußball spielst. Unser Stadion wird brennen."
kicker.de · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Ruhr Nachrichten
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen