The Borussia Dortmund Files
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Predictions

Borussia Dortmund

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte BVB — Club-Dossier Borussia Dortmund
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does BVB stand in the table?
BVB are 2th with 14 points after 6 matchdays. Goal difference: +7.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does BVB's probability come from — and what moves it?

BVB vs Werder · Fri, 10/09, 06:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home57.6%
Draw24%
Away18.4%

BVB: 57.6%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • 🟢 BVB home +13.6pp
Home71.2%
Draw17.2%
Away11.6%

BVB: 71.2% (+13.6pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home69.2%
Draw17.4%
Away13.5%

BVB: 69.2%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +2.0pp — Pipeline model and Pinnacle nearly identical

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for Borussia Dortmund. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 7

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 6 4 2 0 +17 14
2 BVB 6 4 2 0 +7 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 +9 13
4 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Leipzig 6 3 0 3 +5 9
8 Werder 6 2 3 1 0 9
9 HSV 6 3 0 3 -9 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 +4 8
11 Eintracht 6 2 2 2 -6 8
12 Koeln 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 -3 6
14 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 -3 6
15 Schalke 04 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Union 6 1 2 3 -12 5
18 Gladbach 7 1 0 6 -11 3